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David Leonhardt @DLeonhardt The New York Times, in D.C.

Now: editor, The Upshot, for NYT. Then: DC bureau chief, Here's the Deal e-book, Pulitzer for commentary, math major. Still: Jim Rice, ma la, Art Blakey

1,183 Following   73,521 Followers   15,662 Tweets

Joined Twitter 7/18/10

@peterwayner No, the other one. @GChernack @JBuchdahl Actually for a friend. With a kid playing for the O's in Little League. @JBuchdahl[nfl prospect hits a bong] NFL: YOU ARE UNDRAFTABLE AND A MISERABLE HUMAN [nfl player hits a woman] NFL: oh golly gee, boys will be boys
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @ToddRadom Never! Actually asking for a friend -- who appreciates a good logo and whose son is on a Little League O's team.Every contiguous state's warming trend since the first Earth Day, mapped
Retweeted by David LeonhardtWhile you're tweeting this, Goodell using a youth football team as draft props.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtAny tips on where to buy one of those elegant 1990s-era Orioles caps, with the drawn bird? Harder to find than I thought.National polls have shown Trump increasing and Cruz/Kasich dropping over the last month
Retweeted by David LeonhardtCan I just say the weirdest part of the Tunsil video may be the confederate flag on the wall behind him.
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@jmp_nyc Thank you so much.
Your nighty Washington Generals update.
Trump touts "America First" as his slogan. Which, of course, is a slogan @sangerNYT said first.
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Our long annual nightmare is 15 minutes from ending... wonder Cuba is thriving.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt2+2 doesn't equal 4, it equals 5. Trump table at North Dakota GOP convention. Doesn't bode well for his chances to pick up delegates.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt.@alfranken on LBJ saying civil rights legislation lost Dem’s the south for a generation: “He was wrong. It was forever, I think."
Retweeted by David LeonhardtDizzying view from the top of a high rise in Hong Kong by Alexander Remnev
Retweeted by David LeonhardtHourly decline of Trump over last 5 days; peak 79 @ 7 AM ET 3/29, low 55 @ 9 PM ET 4/2 (now)
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @Econ_Marshall @WSJecon @Econ_Marshall @WSJecon Goodman/Hurwitz/Smith and Zimmerman papers, among many others, point to skills. @Ishan_Nath Alas, many dispute it. There is a vein of skepticism on both left and right. See comments here:
A College Degree Is Worth It (a continuing saga.) is already hard for people with disabilities. Voter ID laws make it even harder. via @voxdotcom
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@AKAarsalan @afrakt Maybe it's only the longer stories that pass muster with editors. @BlairFalconer66 @PredictWise Better than Cruz or Trump? Seems a low bar. @DouthatNYT @DLeonhardt In fairness, the last time he was offered a job he'd be crazy to take, he wound up as Speaker of the House.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @DLeonhardt Ryan would be crazy to take it, so those numbers should be reversed.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtPaul Ryan up to 4% for the nomination on @PredictWise. (And Romney at 1%.) Sanders isn't the only candidate with some sloppy thinking on student debt. is Trump's second worst remaining state in our demographic model. On 3/15, I think it would have been Cruz 41, Trump 35, K 16, R 8
Retweeted by David LeonhardtTrump was an underdog in Wisconsin even *before* Rubio left the race
Retweeted by David LeonhardtThere's nothing about Cruz's strength and Trump weakness in Wisconsin that suggests a change in the race. This is expected.
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And the idea that all Rubio voters would go to Cruz is just silly.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtAt this point, #NeverTrump forces probably better off ditching anti-1,237 effort & launching Indie effort. But, too strategically divided.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtToday, and every day in this era of ever-present terror, @rcallimachi is a must-follow.
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incredible how much complexity remains after filing #fafsa (CSS, changing deadlines, verification, etc) @dynarski
Retweeted by David LeonhardtIn his 2000 book "The America We Deserve," Trump wrote he'd pick Jack Welch as Treas. Sec. Also praised Giuliani, Bob Torricelli, Jeb Bush
Retweeted by David LeonhardtIn 2000 book, Trump wrote: "Pat Buchanan has written too many inflammatory, outrageous & controversial things to ever be elected president"
Retweeted by David LeonhardtBest explanation: He's angling to be Trump's VP. #OccamsRazor
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Fantastic visual account of what Russia achieved in Syria @dwtkns @salvesergio @ABarnardNYT
Retweeted by David LeonhardtThere is virtually no way the GOP nomination fight does NOT last all the way to June 7th in CA, MT, NJ, NM, SD:
Retweeted by David LeonhardtW/ prospect of Trump depressing GOP turnout, is there any sign of Dems getting act together and recruiting for previously-ungettable seats?
Retweeted by David LeonhardtThe Texas home state dummy cost Trump 6.5 points. The Ohio dummy cost him 6.4 points. The Florida dummy? 0. Poor Marco.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @RKWinvisibleman Ohio. It ended the next morning. @chrislhayes @HeerJeet Chris is right. Ohio. See @stuartpstevens feed for more.The last time a Republican won with enough votes to be declared president on Election Night was ... 1988.
When's the last time anyone said: "My candidate had fair resources & media, but too many intelligent, decent people just disagreed w us"?
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @GChernack cc @DavMicRotPrepare yourself for HILLARY FACING LONG, TOUGH, HARD SLOG, part III. Donald Trump gets pretty much right about China and what he gets completely wrong.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtCruz + Kasich now at 19% for nomination. Neither Trump, Cruz nor Kasich at 2%. I'd take the 2 all days at those prices.13) I’ve spent a lot of time being dismissed as a RINO squish, or worse, because I think to save most of conservatism, we must change some.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt12) Yet even as the R elite sees what’s probably coming, it won’t believe it. What worked in 1980 must work again. It just *must*.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt8) So as GOP generals stood at Armageddon to battle for the Lord, i.e. Reagan, their troops were deserting to Donald Trump
Retweeted by David Leonhardt6) Result: while Democrats turned to center after their beatings in 80, 84, 88 - Republicans turned further right after 08 & 12.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt4) To put it mildly, few other conservatives shared this view. They saw the same landscape, and saw a country ripe for Reagan-Kemp 2.0
Retweeted by David Leonhardt2) It seemed to me that this was a moment for conservatives to offer timely concessions to mitigate even worse possibilities.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt1) A personal statement first. It’s been my perception since 2008 that US politics are shifting left, as they shifted right after 1970
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @bekahann89 @mikiebarb They probably wouldn't have. General-election campaigns bring people from both sides home to their parties.Scoop: @marcorubio told MN supporters tonight that @tedcruz is “the only conservative left in the race”:
Retweeted by David LeonhardtAnd you should have seen the mobile presentation... that piece has circulated wildly around conservative Washington all day to buck up the anti-hearing forces.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtBest strategy: if Senate refuses to hold hearing, Garland withdraws, say in summer. No free options for GOP.
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The upcoming calendar is favorable to Trump and other reasons Trump remains on track to capture the nomination:
Retweeted by David LeonhardtWe have Trump needing 94 of CA's 172 dels for 1,237. So yes, will likely come down to 6/7.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtA map of where registered Dem's are voting for a Dem candidate other than Hillary or Bernie (typically obscure).'s 1,726 vote lead in Missouri right now (as opposed to a Cruz lead) is the delegate equivalent of winning another 190,326 votes in NC.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtYet they expended resources in Florida, a state they would obviously lose. Fell a few k short in Missouri
Retweeted by David Leonhardt"Instead, he imposed a sort of actuarial term limit on the nomination and thus his legacy, offering Republicans a compromise," - @adamliptak"Obama very likely gave away his opportunity to name a justice who would serve on the Supreme Court perhaps three decades." - @adamliptakWorth reading. groups will fall in line, and deeply respect Garland and the President’s choice, but their actual disappointment will be deep.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtThank goodness Obama didn't nominate a Protestant. We don't need affirmative action in the highest court in the land.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtRepublicans have long had a better understanding of Court politics than Democrats. And Republicans don't choose nominees in their 60s.Curious if Obama coordinated with Clinton to secure her promise to renominate Sri in January should GOP hold fast to #NoHearingsNoVotes
Retweeted by David LeonhardtLast night was a really strong for eventual Democratic nominee. S/he moved from 69% to 72% to win general election
Retweeted by David LeonhardtAbout that meeting tomorrow to discuss a third party option . . .
Retweeted by David LeonhardtAwkward: #Scotus finalists Garland and Srinivasan will be on panel tomorrow hearing #CIA torture report case.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtThis headline has been true for weeks. Feb 17 Trump said he'd name a team of FP/natsec advisers "in about a week"
Retweeted by David LeonhardtIn particular, I think Sanders is showing us that politics for post-Soviet cohorts is going to look very different.
Retweeted by David Leonhardtre Trump's failure to win outright majorities: he's come closer to doing it in several states than Kasich did in his own
Retweeted by David LeonhardtHow could #scotus name not have leaked yet? We are all failures as journalists.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtWe updated our interactive delegate calculator, which shows a clear path for Donald Trump.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @GregPacknett @Mason13NYC observation.
Retweeted by David LeonhardtHas anyone categorically ruled it out? @ATabarrok Of course there are two halves. But the Cruz pattern between the two seems notable. @ATabarrok But mostly bottom half of distribution. @msnbc moments when Ben Ginsberg drops in to talk about the specifics of the GOP delegate process are great. Genuinely informative.
Retweeted by David Leonhardt @UT_MAZ It's also Ted Cruz's home. @The_Seantourage True. Alas for him, he's not a home-state senator anywhere else.Fair point. Cruz has won only rural states (and his home state). Trump has won a mix of rural and urban."In no big state yet has @SenTedCruz won non-evangelicals, even TX," - @RonBrownsteinSo far, Ted Cruz has won rural states. Donald Trump has won urban states. Care to guess which category CA, NJ, NY, MD & PA fall into?It was "an almost perfect night for Hillary Clinton," says @Nate_Cohn. line: Hard to see how Trump DOESN'T get to 1,237 from here. Beating Cruz in red states, likely to beat Kasich in blue states.
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