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Reporter and polling editor @HuffPostPol, covering politics/public opinion. LA native, USC alum, perpetually in search of a pithier Twitter bio. I like puns.

1,997 Following   44,511 Followers   40,159 Tweets

Joined Twitter 3/12/09


unfortunately for me, so far this is holding up great!!!
7/21
2019
@POLITICO_Steve what if someone has a really hot take????? https://t.co/os0sD6mINM
7/20
2019
@TheRickWilson also margins of errorsHooray! https://t.co/iPUOh5UIFF
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy @MileahKromer survey content forever @bertjwregeer i'm still advocating for a feature where all the significant results show up sparklyi call this genre Friday Analysis @aedwardslevy Correlation implies correlation.
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levywhen you accidentally crosstab the thing by itself and the correlation is impressive https://t.co/l2PWKjJM0OThis was a hard news week with a lot of discussion about racism & the weight of Trump's words. Some of my @HuffPosthttps://t.co/EW5nJhHXjX
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levywas not into the Spice Girls as a child because tbh I was kind of a tiny aesthetic snob but I'd like to think I hav… https://t.co/PLbyhCpZrk @EndlessJeopardy what is bouillabaississippi? @skoczela @chelsea_janes really grasping at straws, huhI WISH. https://t.co/yuow4oN1pq
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levyhow do you say "quickly resolved" and not "resolved A$AP" https://t.co/PLrSoea2l6 @JHagner lol I'm not going to argue with you on this one (welllll....maybe make it something like "poll movement i… https://t.co/CieuyZn76B @SeanTrende so I sense this is facetious but also I nearly froze to death on WMATA today @_marymary7 ha, see, this is a legitimately good question for which I do not have a good offhand answerin honor of old school Gallup @AlyssaRosenberg @databyler the first rule of polling analysis fight club is that there are about a dozen caveats to the rule @joshchafetz hmph @emayfarris well I walked right into that oneresponse scales? idkanyone want to start a polling feud about question wording or somethingAll that said, most (65%) Americans still believe that landing on the moon was worth it. https://t.co/cLPc9VaRtW https://t.co/wqZQHvHopH
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy @c_m_dangelo good one!i'm in https://t.co/OyefgpfkaNslow news day https://t.co/u86Z0gWg69 @KathleenWeldon 👀this has been a fun interlude of searching iPoll for polls about cats, a thing that, again, I definitely did not just do"Does your cat or cats ever seem to be watching TV?" "Who deserves greater priority in the Rose Garden--Socks, the… https://t.co/vZDiKwfUH4https://t.co/27aaX2N1td"Teledyne Water Pik Poll" https://t.co/qvbwbWF6sXhttps://t.co/JmMn9Ekfg4definitely not searching iPoll for polls about cats @msager @richparr79 probably should have made it "349 devices" tbh>measure your life in love ERROR: password must contain 8-16 characters >measure your life in looooove ERROR: at… https://t.co/5ATqpSVynchow do you measure? measure a year? in daylights, in sunsets, in your password expiring in having to update your pa… https://t.co/GkkOIuzzKU16. Democratic firm's polling on voters who disapprove of Trump overall but approve of his performance on the econo… https://t.co/Vpul5c6OjiOur poll asked Americans whether they'd ever been told to go back where they came from. Here are some of the respon… https://t.co/QCaR7kANml
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy38% of Americans said they believe most or all Republicans agree with what Trump said in his tweets, with only 28%… https://t.co/vNua3T6IVp
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-LevyNew HuffPost/YouGov poll: Americans say, 50% to 35%, that the president is a racist. This number is virtually uncha… https://t.co/3AALKWPoPe
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-LevyI was trying to remember a song from Cats and was like “when you’re a cat, you’re a cat all the way.”
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levytonight in adventurous questionnaire design https://t.co/xLFIwFwNQP(this is a needlessly convoluted way of saying primary "lanes" are not a well-defined thing)actual voters' divisions between the candidates they're considering and the ones they're not are often only a littl… https://t.co/SgrSQ992EO @AstroKatie honestly a winter home on Venus doesn't sound like the worstmake up your minds https://t.co/YqOHKt4xtkoutdoor-hyggethis is controversial but I have to say it: the weather in DC is perfect right now
7/19
2019
Why did they make the cats all look like the middle step of am animorphs cover?
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-LevyOther polling on this: https://t.co/bSIgrvHdZFA sidenote: we asked people who found Trump's comments either racist or inappropriate whether they thought GOP had… https://t.co/gQrFKH6do4Our poll asked Americans whether they'd ever been told to go back where they came from. Here are some of the respon… https://t.co/QCaR7kANml38% of Americans said they believe most or all Republicans agree with what Trump said in his tweets, with only 28%… https://t.co/vNua3T6IVpNew HuffPost/YouGov poll: Americans say, 50% to 35%, that the president is a racist. This number is virtually uncha… https://t.co/3AALKWPoPe @azalben fake mewsso I had this dream ok and taylor swift was there ok and idris elba got it, ok and judi dench ok, yeah and… https://t.co/iJxXE1tcXvstill not convinced we are not having a collective national hallucination https://t.co/TzkaOUCleC @jargudo54 @Susan_Hennessey I was a little busy with elementary school.CATI the musical 🎵may I talk to the person with the next birthday 🎵we are not selling anything https://t.co/kePBv13vSLPS: This goes doubly for subgroups (Republicans, independents, etc), for whom the margin of error is higher.either way, they're sure generating a lot of ink, amirite folksconfession: I keep reading "squad" as "squid" @RosemaryMosco definitely have not been staring at this for the past few minutes trying to decide which moth is which candidaterogue emu is holding a press conference to announce it's running as an independent"has anyone seen paul manafort? my cousin wants to talk to him about a jacket" https://t.co/9Ny0GGA8DI🚨ROGUE EMU🚨 https://t.co/IIzvBZbsPa @titonka getting them all to do that must have been like herding, uhSome people don’t have the luxury of just ignoring the racism.
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-LevyThe president was accused of rape less than a month ago.I don't really know whether the combined effects end up helping or hurting Trump, and I've seen reasonable argument… https://t.co/X8GnLl2GTTCentering a campaign around racism can energize bigoted voters, and galvanize the opposition, and make some Republi… https://t.co/wnocvC1aXbThis is not radically insightful analysis here, but the effects of political developments are often not as simple a… https://t.co/FXpMVBTzqYDemocrats are reasonably chipper about their field of options. https://t.co/UcMF5ozeu3"Attention to the presidential election at this point in the cycle is also at a historic high in Pew Research Cente… https://t.co/DAoT9uJ530At a certain point we're going to start getting Trump approval ratings for this week, and I'd like to encourage peo… https://t.co/3BpxCogz4bThis is interesting. Of course one thing it tells us is not to treat "would not support under any circumstances" as… https://t.co/MnDmEbUYcx
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy @jplaub NationallyPressley actually "wins" on net favorability (ie, controlling for name recognition): Pressley: +4 (22/18) ICE: 0 (4… https://t.co/HK2YNacR79oh come on google you know what I meant https://t.co/QF9nUooSVRDon't worry, we're going to have plenty of our own to horrify the future generations. https://t.co/9nmakWq9Ic
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy @ItsTheBrandi Because if people are going to be talking about it anyway, which they are, it's nice to have actual d… https://t.co/gy9BOzsuZF @ItsTheBrandi I didn't run the questions, but: a) They're in the news at the moment, b) I think the fact that AOC h… https://t.co/To8rHv5u2hDon't worry, we're going to have plenty of our own to horrify the future generations. https://t.co/9nmakWq9IcJulián Castro is in tomorrow's @NYT_Crossword. It's the second time in his career. In all, eight 2020 Democrats hav… https://t.co/2lU1KkDnxO
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
7/18
2019
subtlety in environmental metaphors is clearly a lost art https://t.co/ka6uGMwyIj(naturally this weather forecasting model will be stored in the cloud) @AnomalousMuffin "your honor, I am actually just very forgetful"building a weather forecasting model where the only input is whether or not I've forgotten my umbrellais that what we're calling twitter these days https://t.co/R6UEr1lAA6all the candidates just want to see how they'll prematurely age if they're president https://t.co/WiWp4r6QX1and here we come to a key point about homogenous social circles and the importance of representative samples https://t.co/0ZEB3tkV7belon musk's brain chip is gonna go great with the one on his shoulder, send tweet @Tallboy_The23rd https://t.co/PrgBgcq3o1Would be curious whether similar trends have been replicated in other surveys, but this is, uh, noticeable. https://t.co/Df909CVRmD @EndlessJeopardy what is Burn After Reeding?How do Americans feel about Donald Trump's recent tweet about four minority Congresswomen, telling them to “go back… https://t.co/5oaWVfArE9
Retweeted by Ariel Edwards-Levy @skoczela @nataliemjb this is cyberbullying and I am making a note of the people who have liked it
7/17
2019

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