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Research, development & segmentation for campaigns, social networks, values & behaviour change. Also at: http://t.co/2N8k9ifarQ and http://t.co/e7kmbSCFXL

4,916 Following   2,802 Followers   116,435 Tweets

Joined Twitter 4/22/08


Guardian front page, Saturday 26 September 2020: Universities urged to drop all face-to-face teaching https://t.co/QG2YaIDJe2
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell📊 Promedio de encuestas 25/09/2020 (variación respecto al 14/09/2020): 🟥 PSOE 27,6% (-0,5) 🟦 PP 22,7% (-1,0) 🟩 VOX… https://t.co/jfqKbWeEjc
Retweeted by Charlie MansellPresident Trump intends to choose Amy Coney Barrett to be the new Supreme Court justice, multiple GOP sources say.… https://t.co/hAQxkiIMnJ
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @maireadcan @Discworld101 @Chris_Gwyther @MickAntoniw1 @LabourPonty Is this Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire… https://t.co/W2JR9MiDMV @Discworld101 @CllrRobJames @lukeakehurst @JohannaBaxter @LauraPidcock @AnnBlackLabour @gembolton @AMCarwynhttps://t.co/0bJ9ljRLWQ👏👏👏Motion passed!👏👏👏 Congratulations @LibDems on become the first national party to commit to a #BasicIncome for a… https://t.co/9Btaibg3IN
Retweeted by Charlie MansellTranslation: Christmas is cancelled https://t.co/CF4CrmDEdz
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @CllrRobJames @lukeakehurst @JohannaBaxter @LauraPidcock @AnnBlackLabour @gembolton @AMCarwyn @CLPNominations @Discworld101 @AaronBastani @MorganPaulett Is Westphalia not an option then?:)Seem to have been a lot of reports. It's been confirmed Dennis Skinner has not died.
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @HazelLabour @CLPNominations @Discworld101#UN75 Survey Key finding 2⃣: Amidst the current crisis, the immediate priority of most respondents is: 🔹Cooperation… https://t.co/D4u9BlmpQv
Retweeted by Charlie MansellBREAKING: President Trump intends to nominate Amy Coney Barrett for the Supreme Court vacancy, according to multipl… https://t.co/7r4JjaFee0
Retweeted by Charlie MansellYes. Trump is moving us in an authoritarian direction. But despair is not an option. We must take action to preserv… https://t.co/eDfwQEvqJk
Retweeted by Charlie MansellBREAKING: Local lockdowns will come into effect in Cardiff, Swansea and Llanelli https://t.co/l8eKHYdsK9
Retweeted by Charlie MansellGrateful to Cressida Dick for her briefing on today’s tragic events at the custody suite in Croydon. I paid tribu… https://t.co/Cy2ghb1TrS
Retweeted by Charlie MansellSunak's budget is knocked off track for now, but the discussion about tax will continue. What should the Labour lin… https://t.co/4fetP17P12
Retweeted by Charlie MansellWill Labor drop climate policy before the next election? – Australian politics live podcast https://t.co/OlIylW6HTP
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @xenocryptsite So does the UK! Generally takes a while though... https://t.co/2ngHbkOF56
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell% of voters who think that sexism is a problem in the UK: A problem: 59% Not a problem: 32% [Women] A problem: 64… https://t.co/FxWjka2W9q
Retweeted by Charlie MansellEXCL Covid-19 test firm director hopes putting Boris Johnson’s half-brother on their board will ‘open doors’ https://t.co/vSxcyyZIfy
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @markpack Have they been warned they might soon be London Mayoral candidate?:) @cstross https://t.co/tirXPvYapw
Retweeted by Charlie MansellThe Mayor of Newham wants to hold a local referendum - which could result in the abolition of her job - on the earl… https://t.co/ie2MNfpKUW
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell#Breaking A police officer who died after being shot at a police station in Croydon, south London, on Friday has be… https://t.co/ABOpCfXTUQ
Retweeted by Charlie MansellToday will be swept up with Sunak’s announcements but before we move on from yesterday’s vote on the Overseas Opera… https://t.co/hqCAta8tho
Retweeted by Charlie MansellLatest next PM betting has a new favourite - Rishi Sunak edges past Starmer. Chart @betdatapolitics https://t.co/66PF8c7z59
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @LeftieStats @future_we_need @labtowin @OpenLabour @TribuneMPs @LabLeftAlliance LTW predecessor vote shares in thos… https://t.co/eV1SkOl4uJ @LeftieStats @future_we_need @labtowin @OpenLabour @TribuneMPs @LabLeftAlliance GV predecessor vote shares were 54%… https://t.co/lFpiKinTol @LeftieStats @future_we_need @labtowin @OpenLabour @TribuneMPs @LabLeftAlliance Tribune polled 8% with a full slate… https://t.co/JumTCBmrNbUK-wide @SavantaComRes poll, 18-20 September (changes since 14-16 August): CON: 40% (-2) LAB: 37% (-) LD: 8% (+1)… https://t.co/98kh1cGIBP
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @LeftieStats @future_we_need @labtowin @OpenLabour @TribuneMPs @LabLeftAlliance What it tells me is Independents wi… https://t.co/xYdKEBXhel @LeftieStats I think you use of averages is a very useful one it shows the differences with the actual number perce… https://t.co/Th0TS4y16m @Fruitandvegdon @CLPNominations @TonyjambJames Its very good. A record number of independents too at 17, nearly hal… https://t.co/95XANclWJr @AaronBastani @siennamarla But Glasman in 2013 had a pretty narrow identity/cultural values focus. Ainsley's book o… https://t.co/KRSq2dGZCu% of voters who think that transphobia is a problem in the UK: A problem: 47% Not a problem: 33% [Women] A proble… https://t.co/K10kfblZiW
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @Discworld101 @LeftieStats @ToTheStone @Auslander777 @OpenLabour @WarringFictions Indeed post-election the internal… https://t.co/ok2bNyczuu @Discworld101 @LeftieStats @ToTheStone @Auslander777 @OpenLabour @WarringFictions Thus the space has opened up from… https://t.co/bueQYls1H8 @Discworld101 @LeftieStats @ToTheStone @Auslander777 @OpenLabour On top of that the 130,000 post GE members may be… https://t.co/PF4uoCz0l2 @Discworld101 @LeftieStats @ToTheStone @Auslander777 @OpenLabour Good question. It's likely to be higher than 2018… https://t.co/rNOkQrjBCEHere's the latest numbers for CLP rep nominations. The average for each faction is now: Grassroots Voice: 193 (34%… https://t.co/jjrOJgdoc5
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @stephenkb Would Trump Orange work with yellow?:)And yes you could’ve won consent for some kind of soft Lexit IF the urban half of Labour’s coalition had felt confi… https://t.co/ORWEsIUh5W
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @LeftieStats @RedfieldWilton What are 2019 and current Labour voter views on this?Voters' preferences for what Labour should focus on: 55% ~ The Labour Party should suggest its own policies aimed… https://t.co/AEySnuAJ3D
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @jemgilbert I'm fascinated as what would have happened if it were 52-48 the other way. Would Cameron still be PM an… https://t.co/CeZ3o9pxB9The only way Labour could’ve resolved the Brexit paradox 2017-9 would’ve been to switch universes to a timeline in… https://t.co/83X10gMeob
Retweeted by Charlie MansellIn the last month, three different pollsters have shown Labour and the Tories tied. Given that conferences often pr… https://t.co/o5GQJSCQL8
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @SkyNews 1 4 @paulmasonnews & @AaronBastani. In about a decade's time the old "orthodox anti-imperialist left" (2 o… https://t.co/3wCZN9DWjlA Japanese company has showcased this 59-foot tall robot which is based on a popular anime series 🤖 Latest tech ne… https://t.co/zhDT6hHvZW
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @johnharris1969 Sad, really, because it comes with a free laminated version of this to act as a book marker!:) https://t.co/pvpC2IHaMPhttps://t.co/PVH2nNYRp8
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @TomMcTague A Black Death era Test & Trace Centre close to Barnard Castle? It was briefly repurposed as a Nightinga… https://t.co/29InA0Y3TB @chrishanretty This is an unusually clear case of electoral targeting of marginals as opposed to simply rewarding y… https://t.co/zPE4y0HWeL
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @benlauderdale Sloping down if anything... blue = chosen, green = civil service recommendation https://t.co/jD0jbJxNBY
Retweeted by Charlie MansellIf you want, you can estimate a fancier model, where a smoothed spline connects (average) Conservative majority in… https://t.co/TObCREYr0T
Retweeted by Charlie MansellIndeed, because I know how to have a good time, I went so far as to estimate all 4095 models possible using the var… https://t.co/W4JY2hjZG5
Retweeted by Charlie MansellThis association is robust, and highly significant across several different specifications. Here's a logistic regre… https://t.co/xnnGNwpAka
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell(Technical note: a town (=built up area or subdivision) is in a Conservative seat if the town area overlaps, in who… https://t.co/chAmf25kPQ
Retweeted by Charlie MansellBut ministers exercised their discretion, and so we get this pattern, with 53 of 61 funded areas in Con-held seats… https://t.co/EigYBLyI0m
Retweeted by Charlie MansellMinisters could have followed the detailed civil service rankings. Here's what the data would have looked like if t… https://t.co/xmzaefwwbd
Retweeted by Charlie MansellBriefly: 541 towns were considered, civil servants made recommendations as to how many towns should be picked in ea… https://t.co/nvBtC41uWG
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell(That data's in a horrible, horrible PDF, but I tidied it and put it here: https://t.co/E9NOq3Mbyg) (5/n)
Retweeted by Charlie MansellThe Towns Fund has previously been the subject of a National Audit Office report (https://t.co/O72WpmUxj9), which s… https://t.co/e9P1uGk3Ci
Retweeted by Charlie MansellJeremy Pocklington said that ministers had ignored civil service advice concerning the £3.9bn Towns Fund, and had i… https://t.co/EApE3rQX18
Retweeted by Charlie MansellAs @estwebber and @georgegrylls reported this morning, the Perm. Sec at MHCLG gave evidence to the Public Accounts… https://t.co/oYqqeWIwE3
Retweeted by Charlie MansellTowns are sexy in UK polisci, aren't they? Let's talk a little bit about the super-sexy Towns Fund https://t.co/ejAOxJ3cfv (1/n)
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @GantsBhill @CFC_Remi @CLPNominations @future_we_need @labtowin @OpenLabour @TribuneMPs @LabLeftAlliance As u say i… https://t.co/773W2oHRhTBREAKING: Cardiff "on the verge" of local lockdown https://t.co/mEUW3WzuN3
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations Yes, sorry I got a bit waylaid into an email that kept growing into a a… https://t.co/kryeVFDOrF @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations It is certainly more recent though you have to put more work into to ma… https://t.co/SkuzjOgmV2 @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations Using 1 or another dataset or even comparing both shd b able 2 give u a… https://t.co/KwbeftVJCq @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations 2. Or you could use the 2018 NEC raw results data,… https://t.co/31HWVImHjl
9/25
2020
@JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations When I spent 16 years on Londen regional exec I always knew them for Lo… https://t.co/vve0zLOcAo @charliemansell @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 Yorkshire and the Humber | Black/Pidcock: 18 Jama: 17
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @charliemansell @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 North West | Black/Griffin: 32 Dar: 31 Scotland | Baxter/Black: 16 J… https://t.co/fnAXn3eB6P
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @charliemansell @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 Top three candidates by region: East Midlands | Pidcock: 15 Dar: 12… https://t.co/KrtQYGJrXX
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @JayRoberts86 @CLPNominations @Discworld101 Yes. Thanks ever so much. That is very interesting @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations I bow to your local knowledge. I agree its hard for her to come lower t… https://t.co/NatdDNlgwH @Discworld101 @JayRoberts86 @CLPNominations I do tend to make a rash commitment every now and then! It might be a b… https://t.co/cqniLl2DOk @CLPNominations @HariSarasan Funnily enough I was using the 2010 results up until the Labour Brexit debate in 2019… https://t.co/uumPKLXeJr @HariSarasan @CLPNominations As @CLPNominations has flagged up. The Certification Officer returns you give you some… https://t.co/PW4eDtKnmb @JayRoberts86 @Discworld101 @CLPNominations Absolutely. She could top the poll in the region with Dar second. This… https://t.co/ooPTn84Fn7 @CLPNominations @HariSarasan Like my campaign for membership data published quarterly, I think this affiliation dat… https://t.co/r2b4iGRrIg @CLPNominations @HariSarasan Its what the TU's affiliate at that matters, not affiliation density within the union.… https://t.co/vJ8ZpOmHEE @Discworld101 @JayRoberts86 @CLPNominations North West politics is definable in its own right so her Dar and Wisema… https://t.co/b3sbObP81f @LabourKnowsley @JohannaBaxter @JohnWis39088483 @ShamaTatler @terrypaul @MichaelPayneUK @AnnHenderson @MishRahmanhttps://t.co/B7OyhyUkg9 @HariSarasan @CLPNominations Affiliation numbers do change each year so not an exact science. Some have speculated… https://t.co/A8CfGj3iee @HariSarasan @CLPNominations The socialist societies are also part of that total but are very small. You then halve… https://t.co/K8ke4q3XBY @HariSarasan @CLPNominations Its not the nominations that count, but the actual vote. If GL-H gets Usdaw to go with… https://t.co/4kO2U0DA1F @SouthHackneyLab @LauraPidcock @gembolton @MizJama @Yasmine_Dar @mish_rahman @JermainJackman @TerryPaul_NEChttps://t.co/faZVa7Yg1A @SouthHackneyLab @LauraPidcock @gembolton @MizJama @Yasmine_Dar @mish_rahman @JermainJackman @TerryPaul_NEChttps://t.co/AEHCdnvkloCathleen Clarke, who has been endorsed by Open Labour, has just three days left to achieve the necessary two nomina… https://t.co/WZ0ql9AtQC
Retweeted by Charlie MansellNominations for Young Labour Chair thus far. Candidates need nominations from 50 members and 2 affiliates. [Jess B… https://t.co/jvmqUs9VPs
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @JayRoberts86 @CLPNominations I also think Jackman may pick us at least some GV transfers if he stays ahead of Hend… https://t.co/exHzWCdoIu @greg_herriett @Discworld101 @elishaleann87 Yes, it sounded like everything was sorted. I was reassuring people the… https://t.co/GRz7Taq0Fp @Discworld101 @greg_herriett @elishaleann87 Next door to mine. We were talking about balloting processes only a day or so ago @LanceForman They have a lot of choice of who 2 sell 2, so may adjust their travel. In any case have u ever been to… https://t.co/DAVcEBgfIlThe deadline for NEC nominations is Sunday. It’s also the deadline to complete the equalities survey. If you identi… https://t.co/uk5HqnmxVq
Retweeted by Charlie Mansell @CLPNominations The impact of the 5 other candidates on the ballot may also have an impact on the result in both di… https://t.co/AFX9hMiVTZ
9/24
2020

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