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Researcher @kielinstitute for the World Economy; Dot-connector; Slow-Traveller; Environmentalist; Runner; Pianist. Own opinions here.https://t.co/QEbdFuQoT6

416 Following   687 Followers   1,231 Tweets

Joined Twitter 3/2/12


@erikgarrison @fleinaudi @emmevilla It's here: https://t.co/KnugXlKF0F . It's a daily tracker. Some methodological… https://t.co/xKLbcz3S6pNB:These are projections based on current #contagion rates.There's big variability:different shaded areas at end of… https://t.co/2MfeeqPgmkZero-#contagion from #COVID19 to be achieved in Week 3 of May in #Italy,says study by #FrancoPeracchi #Einaudi Inst… https://t.co/TrYX3hQiaO
3/30
2020
Seemingly encouraging news from #Italy,as # of new #COVID19 infections stable last week.#Deaths falling for second… https://t.co/tEDeD5OWhWDeaths already doubling between 2 and 3 days in both #UK and #US.At current rate, in one week number of #deaths fro… https://t.co/gOmleZF45T @BaldwinRE Deaths already doubling between 2 and 3 days in both #UK and #US.At current rate, in one week number of… https://t.co/wDb0Jhcnxi
3/29
2020
@DaltonPato @nntaleb @Noahpinion @NAChristakis @simonjhix @FabrizioZilibo1 @FabbioSabatini @fabriziobarca I hope th… https://t.co/6D7tda9XDHThe fact that politicians have been ignoring these trends and have apparently hoped that what was happening in othe… https://t.co/Hbc4mWZ4f5Projected total #deaths from #COVID19 in one week from now:#Italy:36.500;#Spain:33.800;#France:12.900;#US:5.300 #UKhttps://t.co/PxD6W2Y01c“Doctors Are Writing Their Wills.” On the risks taken by health care workers caring for people in the time of a pan… https://t.co/1DjfHKCOWP
Retweeted by gianluca.grimalda
3/28
2020
Another sad day for #Italy:969 people dead for #COVID19.My thoughts go to their families,especially those of 46 doc… https://t.co/3Q9uPmFnhz @Santiago_Saez Qualquiera sea la mentira, tu vida es muy emocionante!Very pleased to hear,#BorisJohnson, that you shook hands with everyone at hospital where #CoronaVirus patients were… https://t.co/FjZbyqciBV
3/27
2020
#Colombia is just average at the moment👇🏾in terms of documented #infected.#Contagion is relatively recent,so I'm af… https://t.co/Si78j35drN @ValerieMWilhite #Colombia is just average at the moment👇🏾in terms of documented #Infections.#Contagion is relative… https://t.co/Pk0X3RYPJmAnother 600 deaths in #Italy from #COVID2019.⬆️in documented #infections,too,but # of #CovidTest also up,361.000 in… https://t.co/uSL9OyfmTQ @jburnmurdoch @DHSCgovuk The Guardian correspondent @rowenamason today announced that #UK govt yesterday changed th… https://t.co/wRnqFBkXimshould COVID-19 mobility restrictions be removed to help economy? new research by @EmilVerner on 1918 suggests answ… https://t.co/2eJWZk3gRz
Retweeted by gianluca.grimaldaIs the #UK government going to undercount the amount of deaths caused by #COVID19? @simonjhix @j2brysonhttps://t.co/r1C4m09cuH @RAAstridBendiks #TestAndTrace is an excellent strategy. But it reduces the overall number of infections, not the f… https://t.co/cGGH7UsLji @Maximinelli @emmevilla Nonostante i numeri piccolissimi,direi che questo dato conferma che, anche in Germania, la… https://t.co/Pj7Jgi9esX
3/26
2020
#Veneto is region that carried out most #COVID19 tests in #Italy and has low #mortality in both national and intern… https://t.co/hmyS64qRh4Extrarodinary that while irresponsible #Bolsonaro keeps on repeating that #COVID19 is just a flu,#gangs and drug tr… https://t.co/062U1Eby5A(3) Why have German elderly been spared from heavy infections so far? Is this because of different intergenerationa… https://t.co/YhP0ntBDoA(2) Is the evolution of #contagion by age group being properly monitored in German population? This calls for… https://t.co/tdw8TniYEW#Mortality is higher for elderly people and so far German elderly have not been heavily infected (see comparison wi… https://t.co/dfYMNPDnXm#Infection #Fatality rate (IFR) from #COVID19 in #Germany is not too low if one computes an age-adjusted fatality r… https://t.co/E7iwpD1E8X @emmevilla Una nota linguisica: Parlare di "migliorare" è un pò macabro visto che questo significa più morti? Cmq grazie per analisi!Just for the record. It would be laughable if it wasn't so tragic. #CoronaVirusItaly #CoronaVirusUK #BorisJohnson https://t.co/FQW9pGhmlT @emmevilla ...Ha ragione @ilariacapua a congetturare che il virus potrebbe essersi trasmesso nei vetusti impianti d… https://t.co/IwsgTgOwdU @emmevilla ...O ci dobbiamo aspettare apocalisse di morti anche in Germania? Ci sono dati sull'evoluzione dei conta… https://t.co/S7ReqCnKHz @emmevilla Sostanzialmente la Germania ha un CFR basso perchè pochi vecchi sono contagiati (vd.👇🏾).Ma allora le dom… https://t.co/UZyT2jOvtN @matthi_prax Yes I agree. I meant to say "when punishment works well", and arguably that is the case in many societies.I agree.#SocialDistancing is a misleading and bad term.With #SocialMedia we can have a lot of social interactions w… https://t.co/9I1SYvI002 @CharlesGedeon I agree.#SocialDistancing is a misleading and bad term.With #SocialMedia we can have a lot of social… https://t.co/esF0ZnHPxg @acroll Most #BehavioralScience work studies endogenous peer #punishment.Punishment by #authority is less investiga… https://t.co/89oi6bI1EC @Heretic270 Typically when endogenous punishment works well in #BehaviouralScience #Experiments,it's low.The threat… https://t.co/0eAn3Xq1FC @PenelopeGibbs2 @simonjhix I'd say there's a lot of experimental evidence that #punishment deters.Punishment may be… https://t.co/1R7XjQ3ApiI'd say there's a lot of experimental evidence that #punishment deters.Punishment may be little,just enough to make… https://t.co/joT5eXqvk9Typically when endogenous punishment works well in #BehaviouralScience #Experiments,it's low.The threat of punishme… https://t.co/n8fqqDZ4IXMost #BehavioralScience work studies endogenous peer #punishment.Punishment by #authority is less investigated-main… https://t.co/4rqxRaBEDq @j2bryson @simonjhix @simon_t_powers @al_cibiades @nicholaraihani For sure it's difficult to say whether behaviour… https://t.co/TYLFYCB214 @j2bryson I think you are referring to the account of #AntiSocialPunishment in terms of search for #status. That ma… https://t.co/FhTk5WZbed @j2bryson You are right that a tweet must oversimplify.But I thought just some basics would suffice to question the… https://t.co/7AbU5luh4T
3/25
2020
@maseface24 @FeloniusTony @MrRBourne @Noahpinion @RobertoBurioni Completely agree. As I said my emphasis is on the… https://t.co/LLM77CvQiq @Tom_Muc1 @AnnaBayern @Noahpinion @RobertoBurioni My emphasis is on the case of #Veneto,only region in Northern Ita… https://t.co/sZa1w5KyGI @ianhunter My emphasis is on the strategy of #Veneto,only region carrying out extensive #TestCovid19 in Northern It… https://t.co/ozmYma6I4r @M_Polemica @nntaleb To have a general sense of direction of correlation.But with so few observations and confoundi… https://t.co/2KlEjQB6XD @M_Polemica @nntaleb The point I wanted to make is that #Veneto stands out as only region in Northern Italy applyin… https://t.co/7h9gYJm4fL @FeloniusTony @MrRBourne @Noahpinion @RobertoBurioni I agree we have too few obs. to make any sensible statistical… https://t.co/W9w3jHp1jn#Veneto is region with lowest mortality from #COVID19 in Northern #Italy & highest # of tests p/head.Veneto also ap… https://t.co/MewE0bSWR5Due to virus, I could not teach this week at NYU. Here are the slides from lecture 1: "Development, state formation… https://t.co/KX9dDR4o0X
Retweeted by gianluca.grimalda
3/24
2020
If we can't contain spread #FlattenTheCurve in developing world by taking drastic measures it may well be apocalypt… https://t.co/s7PrNSjtf3
Retweeted by gianluca.grimalda @FabrizioZilibo1 However,Germany has fewer #infections among the #elderly.~56% of Italians infected are >60y/0,whil… https://t.co/OxLiPOpP5sHowever,Germany has fewer #infections among the #elderly.~56% of Italians infected are >60y/0,while 19% of Germans… https://t.co/S8tjlJesBT#Norway taking the lead in aiding #DevelopingCountries with #COVID19.#Health system of rich countries is already un… https://t.co/OjDHU5Pz7h
3/23
2020
Total adherence without enforcement is unattainable.Typically there are 30% selfish,10% altruistic and 50% conditio… https://t.co/pMmmw4qrynFlouting is to be expected on the basis of #BehavioralScience in the absence of #enforcement.Typically #cooperationhttps://t.co/TLFlGtHg0a @simonjhix Total adherence without enforcement is unattainable.Typically there are 30% selfish,10% altruistic and 5… https://t.co/WIbrZF6B18 @simonjhix Flouting is to be expected on the basis of #BehavioralScience in the absence of #enforcement.Typically… https://t.co/efc0g2URDkSome countries,like #SouthKorea and #Norway used #TestAndTrace preventive strategy extensively and effectively.Litt… https://t.co/qPipoKNRIz#Japan is also success story without any major measure and only mild restrictions (school closure+more #HomeOffice)… https://t.co/bZ5MjR4P1t#Lockdown in Western countries doesn't seem so effective,because (a) benefits are delayed,(b)it's way milder than… https://t.co/ud5lAFBiNIItalian death toll from #COVID19 is catastrophic & eventually non-essential #production has been halted.But #Spainhttps://t.co/LaMIZAPG7HFinding #vaccine for #Covid_19 is a #GlobalPublicGood.However countries are competing against one another.That's bo… https://t.co/d8lXJhINLK“When fishermen cannot go to sea, they repair nets”. ~ @NABILSABIOAZADI Repair your nets, whatever they are. A bo… https://t.co/ndTDaPgEU9
Retweeted by gianluca.grimaldaNice example of #InternationalCooperation within #Europe. But a rare one. #CoronaVirusEurope #Covid_19 #Cooperationhttps://t.co/1OmwsRa1ogAccording to graphs(taken from @rki_de & @istsupsan @GEDIspa),around 56% of Italians infected are >60y/0,while 19%… https://t.co/r3M6RUZv1EOne reason for exceptionally high #mortality from #Covid_19 in #Italy and low in #Germany may be #intergenerationalhttps://t.co/f9xzpuqgeM
3/22
2020
@ValerioCapraro I don't think we should call it *total* lockdown,maybe semi-lockdown.#WuhanLockDown:a)Public transp… https://t.co/xomSLBO1J6I don't think it's a matter of voluntary compliance with norms,but with stronger enforcement by authorities.Of cour… https://t.co/1OXA1pyTRm @TomanBarsbai I don't think it's a matter of voluntary compliance with norms,but with stronger enforcement by autho… https://t.co/VD1on6AX18With high #mortality,both absolute and relative to ascertained cases,it seems inevitable that #Italy will have to e… https://t.co/jcRZg4MS7kAs for #SocialDistancing,#SelfIsolation,Italians probably not very good. Social manners use a lot of phsyical conta… https://t.co/Naz6Ut7sdC#WuhanLockDown:a)Public transport (metro,bus,railway,plane):stopped; b)Private transport:stopped; c)Productive Acti… https://t.co/Lk3swAF4jMAs for #SocialDistancing & #Lockdown, this has so far limited spread of #Covid_19 #contagion in #Italy (see⬇️,credi… https://t.co/k81sVYL0dd#ContactTracing goes against standard #norms to guarantee #privacy and #freedom to people in Western countries,so i… https://t.co/D8jpc0NumhAs for #ContactTracing and #SelfIsolation, this requires tracking down electronic traces of people,to find out who… https://t.co/BtkNcyPPBkAs for (1) #TestingForCovid19,both #SK and #Italy are among countries that performed most tests per inhabitant,but… https://t.co/kuSFvD2DnhGraph⬇️shows evolution of #Covid_19 in #Italy(yellow line) & #SouthKorea(blue line).What are reasons of… https://t.co/AawPOLk39sCorrect technique to wash your hands for proper disinfection. #CoronavirusOutbreakindia #CoronaVirusUpdate #COVIDhttps://t.co/TLjLH4iqKf
Retweeted by gianluca.grimalda
3/21
2020
@EnriqueFatas @CBicchieri @MagratheanTimes @CatherineDVries In Italy the news of lockdown was leaked before it beca… https://t.co/2tDlOlLSBQInteresting attempt to map reaction to #CoronaVirus across different countries. We can expect most countries will g… https://t.co/WL222eBnnkPsychological #reactance-idea that if individual freedoms are reduced,people tend to be “motivationally aroused to… https://t.co/57IufX7KFq
Retweeted by gianluca.grimaldaThe current #COVID19 numbers are not looking good for Germany. Italy implemented lockdown on day 16 after the 100th… https://t.co/eH0XBp1Wkm
Retweeted by gianluca.grimalda15% of people who moved from highly-infected Northern regions to Southern regions in #Italy had fever (source:… https://t.co/akDmZ6exw1 @infrahumano @Noahpinion There's a mistake in one title. Number of tests is per million people not per thousand peo… https://t.co/j8VYptCfoG @EnriqueFatas I made a mistake, the table reported test per million instead of per thousand inhabitant. Below the c… https://t.co/onob5r1ml2
Retweeted by gianluca.grimalda @EnriqueFatas I made a mistake, the table reported test per million instead of per thousand inhabitant. Below the c… https://t.co/onob5r1ml2
3/20
2020
#COVID is spreading around #Italy.Central and Southern regions,so far little affected,show highest daily⬆️,above 20… https://t.co/U3tXttnB0PBased on #ImperialCollegeReport,human lives lost from inaction wrt #COVID19 is staggering:half million in #UK and 2… https://t.co/vir3Sy2Xzx @Mauro_Gilli @FabrizioZilibo1 @FPanunzi @SIMAONLUS OK thanks. But it could just be that first infections were in No… https://t.co/BqYlrUrCyr @Mauro_Gilli @FabrizioZilibo1 @FPanunzi It could be but some doubt that decrease in air pollution has been caused b… https://t.co/MVGJgUiY7OMorgues are saturated in #Bergamo,Northern #Italy,because of too many deaths from #coronavirus(475 in one day).Army… https://t.co/xvH1DrBWuu @FabbioSabatini @RobertoBurioni @ScienceMagazine Penso che la grande maggioranza delle persone sarebbe disposata a… https://t.co/YHxeQOSYiu @FabbioSabatini @RobertoBurioni @ScienceMagazine Qualsiasi sia il valore esatto di trasmissione,è evidente che la t… https://t.co/FD2IBgR5pp @FabbioSabatini @RobertoBurioni 1 studio pubblicato su @ScienceMagazine stima una percentuale ben più alta (79%) di… https://t.co/uIAOvhMnfvA great #CommanderInGuilt: #Trump #CoronavirusUSA #COVID19 https://t.co/Wd7DWlM4fJ @CesarMant @Cartabellotta @NAChristakis Unfortunately this may be a natural experiment to study #culture of a very tragic nature. #COVID19 @boteroitaly @crieajna Grazie..🙏🏾
3/19
2020

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