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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch Doncaster ➡️ London

Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Daily updates of the coronavirus trajectory tracker | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com | #dataviz

4,158 Following   316,251 Followers   50,940 Tweets

Joined Twitter 6/1/09


@EdConwaySky (they do add the denominator units as a note on their chart of testing rates, but not on the positivity rate one) @EdConwaySky Ah, the way OWID present that statistic is slightly misleading though: the denominator for Italy is pe… https://t.co/LdCI15eLuR @JeremyFarrar @TimHarford Thanks Jeremy. I thought your piece in the Sunday Times was excellent. @chrischirp Indeed! @chrischirp The weekly numbers in the PHE surveillance reports, so not as granular but certainly robust. Back to e… https://t.co/QLDEkxIec2 @chrischirp Close to ONS, but I share @jamesannan’s misgivings over fitting of models to just 2 weeks’ data. And y… https://t.co/f5zF2HgUKj @bealelab @ONS Yup thanks, noted that in the replies to your original tweet. And yes the re-testing is just one of… https://t.co/inzrt9hpsrSo when we see things like today’s fascinating @ONS breakdowns of Covid-19 prevalence & growth by deprivation, age… https://t.co/HwAxqi5EAhSamples taken for @ONS tests are re-tested multiple times to make false positives extremely unlikely (one in tens o… https://t.co/OrfVWXTp43@ONS infection survey: these tests are random, and designed to be representative of the overall population. Ther… https://t.co/sDZtFKsGeE• Pillar 2 community testing: these are the bulk of cases picked up at the moment. Case and positivity rates here *… https://t.co/t1oIRztuuUI’ve noticed a lot of people slipping up on how they interpret UK Covid-19 prevalence & testing data, so here’s a v… https://t.co/kEPiXQHE43 @VictimOfMaths @HeerJeet Absolutely — I remember these at the time, and indeed the ONS’ ASMRs also highlighted this point. @VictimOfMaths @HeerJeet And I’ve seen some research looking at infection rather than mortality which also suggeste… https://t.co/IPw8YMqMsd @VictimOfMaths @HeerJeet Yep, but age structure of most deprived areas is much younger than least-deprived, hence t… https://t.co/jdiHw4pOvQ @HeerJeet @VictimOfMaths Thanks! @chuckberry3141 @VictimOfMaths Nope. This is the ONS serology survey. The testing is random. Completely separate fr… https://t.co/XghOF8fu7a @HeerJeet @VictimOfMaths Very interesting, thanks!This is really interesting and not what you would necessarily expect. https://t.co/a6Ko5lUFEi
Retweeted by John Burn-Murdoch @josephmdurso @TheAthleticUK Congrats — brilliant move!
9/28
2020
@fcbfootballblog https://t.co/uOCkpfnSm6 @sTeamTraen @drphilipdixon @BristOliver Yep that’s exactly how I believe it’s done (!)
9/25
2020
@sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes Mystery solved: despite the claim ma… https://t.co/t2PoR993HQ @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes i.e they're a completely different s… https://t.co/q4sk6Edqwf @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes I'd really avoid referring to Worldo… https://t.co/Da1dhYfk28 @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes The weekends and 5 vs 7 do matter, b… https://t.co/cdAVA1dTsU @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes These daily PDFs are where I've been… https://t.co/qXy2YQwWVz @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes Also sorry not sure where you're get… https://t.co/geirUHGLC0 @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes Yep, but again: death registration l… https://t.co/sXXfvPnct7 @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes My guess: • Death registrations lag… https://t.co/mFap0g4QRM @sTeamTraen @phil_messenger @el_pais @EdConwaySky @BristOliver @AlistairHaimes It's certainly very odd, and as we b… https://t.co/D7XhOOnmEc @phil_messenger @sTeamTraen @el_pais @EdConwaySky Hi, this is a misinterpretation FYI. The figures shown are deaths… https://t.co/KYH4g7pHlt @JuliaLMarcus @mugecevik @drjenndowd FWIW we gave lots of prominence to that facet in the story:… https://t.co/rqAC5xLeTD @JuliaLMarcus Absolutely, but: https://t.co/BNc3VCSmdD https://t.co/Pwkkuv8xFV @apsmunro @mastweiler8 @mugecevik Absolutely. But: https://t.co/BNc3VCSmdD @mugecevik Absolutely, and I totally agree that support is necessary, but those differences were between low adhere… https://t.co/qH1ka8SQWP @keithbelfast Indeed. Key workers were found to be more likely not to self-isolate than others.More shocking findings in the paper, such as "Keys reason given for not quarantining [after being contacted] inclu… https://t.co/dGhzRoGzWyIt doesn’t matter how much the capacity and availability of testing is increased, or how much the contact-tracing s… https://t.co/VL6dFGT8aBAbsolutely damning data on the complete failure to follow Covid-19 guidelines in the UK • Only 18% of people self-i… https://t.co/Z2gW9JWH0bA tier-2 contact-tracer (tougher-to-reach cases) just told me they're finding people citing the false positive rate… https://t.co/sNiLjr7TDH
Retweeted by John Burn-MurdochThis is a fantastic thread on what has been overlooked on the "debate" about pandemic strategy "Science" doesn't d… https://t.co/yQmxxQCqw0
Retweeted by John Burn-Murdoch
9/24
2020
@xhgMattia *rate of -change- @xhgMattia At this stage, rate of chance is the single most important thing to show. Log scales do that best.
9/23
2020
@AlistairHaimes @alexkx3 @NewMumOnline @BristOliver Eyeballing some historical UK data, there have been lots of cas… https://t.co/6PhwMXOFmG @AlistairHaimes @alexkx3 @NewMumOnline @BristOliver Yep sounds about right. I've been wondering about how nuances o… https://t.co/84kzoA045U @AlistairHaimes @alexkx3 @NewMumOnline @BristOliver Indeed, though I think we can also calculate that weekly, using… https://t.co/sroR03yhk4On the "false positives on Covid tests mean that there's no evidence of a second wave" theory that's been going aro… https://t.co/Bf18R15dwD
Retweeted by John Burn-Murdoch @NewMumOnline @AlistairHaimes @alexkx3 @BristOliver Putting to one side the fact that that's completely untrue, I'd… https://t.co/kQ2IRWdKlq @n_equals_42 @AlistairHaimes @alexkx3 @NewMumOnline @BristOliver It's certainly possible: I've seen a few papers lo… https://t.co/Ntel5hpRd4 @AlistairHaimes @alexkx3 @NewMumOnline @BristOliver I note you said "almost" always, but just FWIW, UK deaths this… https://t.co/TGCdtZElLt @MattGarrahan Glad you're safe!
9/22
2020
@DadosdeLaplace @ngbpadel2 Indeed, I had first-hand experience of that back in April... @ngbpadel2 @nosmhnmh Indeed, I’ve been a big fan of @ngbpadel2 for some time :-) @TomRugbyFan Also those weekly figures appear to be wrong for Spain @TomRugbyFan Weekly data is collated by ECDC, but daily data is what I’m after @PTTennis1 @pandsreid We essentially did that: we stopped updating the Spanish data in our charts while we waited f… https://t.co/xZy8hj2FEP @EvilDoctorK Ah that makes a lot of sense — thanks! @kikollan Got it, ta. What I’m struggling with is how the "last 24 hours" number in Table 4 is consistently higher… https://t.co/RGa50gIuMs @lugaricano @jcyl @CiudadanosCs Thanks, I’ll take a look @Perbess @EvilDoctorK @covid19_m @FT Thanks :-) @pandsreid @PTTennis1 We’ve reported in great detail on Spain’s data issues several times https://t.co/kThBKffKeD @EvilDoctorK It’s baffling, and now that I look at it so are the Madrid numbers, e.g Thursday they say a cumulative… https://t.co/JpOGMB8h3j @nosmhnmh @mianrey I did back in April but haven’t refreshed them since, will take a look... @EvilDoctorK Seems to be a complete Madrid time series on page 5 here, but the national data either only starts ver… https://t.co/w0FZv82TII @nosmhnmh Thanks — I have the same figures as you, so the problem is: • "Currently in hospital" only goes back to A… https://t.co/Rtx3oEVtezHere’s their latest daily report, with hospitalisation figures on pages 2 and 4 https://t.co/xdPY3eLtdaA plea for Covid data assistance: Spain’s hospitalisations data is an absolute mess (I for one am stunned), with a… https://t.co/rhFFY0xbh4
9/21
2020
This week's Lunch with the @FT is with @MarcusRashford ⚽️💥 We discuss how a tweet became a winning food poverty ca… https://t.co/QcIzW4YXhy
Retweeted by John Burn-Murdoch @RuthWilk It’s a US publication aiming at a US audience so never going to be globally exhaustive, but I wouldn’t ar… https://t.co/K4loghsNGS @llewelyn_morgan @sundersays Ha! I made it 3... Yeah it’s a US publication aiming at a US audience, so never going… https://t.co/WNkE5ps5mQExcellent list of experts to follow on here for the latest science on all things Covid, from transmission risk to m… https://t.co/iY2aBeNziPExcellent thread about latest ONS survey on covid and behaviour https://t.co/hi2kIwmcAQ
Retweeted by John Burn-Murdoch
9/18
2020
@maartenzam It has been in all our templates for several years 😎
9/17
2020
New @UpshotNYT/@NYTimes thing to follow as we head toward November (you can even sign up for notifications): If y… https://t.co/9Rag1G7j8p
Retweeted by John Burn-MurdochAlways amazes me... the "everyone has to move and stay in London" story is nonsense. Literally none of the growth i… https://t.co/RfCho6aly2
Retweeted by John Burn-MurdochWe all spend a lot of time worrying that men will be disadvantaged by the partial return to offices so we made a sp… https://t.co/ILTxJwDCkv
Retweeted by John Burn-Murdoch
9/16
2020
@derivadow @CentreforCities @lramuni Yes and yes: • Google publishes data at local authority level in the UK, inclu… https://t.co/EoGeiIldun @SparksMaths @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN @justsaysrisks Hi, the black numbers for trough and latest values implic… https://t.co/Qd3C4peFZc @Manu_CB Total number of jobs in that city/town @rowlsmanthorpe @lramuni @CentreforCities We have UK-wide data on international tourist numbers (and international… https://t.co/teomImk9G6 @damiankelly Footfall is up in the suburbs @GraceOnFootball @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN Thank you Grace finally I have closure
9/15
2020
@joelwilliams74 Footfall in suburbs has gone up. @drjennings @jerrylatter @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN Ha! I initially had "smaller cities and towns" (to account f… https://t.co/mE3LXxymzC @eleonorasfalcon @lennyvalentino Yep tourists a big factor for London, but that was 111m people-nights per year, wh… https://t.co/uth3OTNPu8 @arhomberg @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN I was in Brixton on Saturday and it was busy but definitely not back to no… https://t.co/3oc8MBXnkI @arhomberg @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN Footfall in Lambeth as a whole is still down 30% (slap bang on the London… https://t.co/zAsW4RGZhv @LizinEDI @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN That could certainly be part of it, but I don’t know nearly enough about th… https://t.co/806Uv5gslF @paul_237 @ChrisGiles_ @DanielThomasLDN Absolutely11/10 a belated but huge thanks here to @CentreforCities and @lramuni for sharing the city/town footfall data with… https://t.co/oLjjuu4NdVWoops, this one was meant to come with an @undertheraedar image as well: https://t.co/GxNKnfoCK810/ The big question: is this a temporary blip that will spring back to normality post-Covid (whenever that may be)… https://t.co/zb9bNgoGhx9/ Even if we zoom right into the very core of London — Cities of London & Westminster — a huge portion of its dail… https://t.co/fTGZUxo2288/ ...but thanks to @undertheraedar, we know: Here’s where the "daytime population" (workers, schoolkids etc) come… https://t.co/LSVFMDrXnD7/ Let’s look at the top-line numbers again: Almost every city or town saw an uptick in high street footfall over… https://t.co/qnhzWmg5i96/ That’s 100,000s of people who would usually be piling onto trains to spend time & money in city centres but are… https://t.co/WaDIZREFGY5/ People who usually walk or drive have been much more comfortable resuming their commute than those who take publ… https://t.co/deY1R7Pwee4/ But a bigger factor than what jobs people do is how they get to work, and how far they travel. The bulk of the… https://t.co/wGDBjPGqw03/ Workers in retail, hospitality can’t do their jobs remotely and have returned to the workplace. They’re popping… https://t.co/MrwL6cNOu5
9/14
2020

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