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Technical Analyst - Editor of The McClellan Market Report. Trying to figure out stock market physics, and to leave my campsite cleaner than how I found it.

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Joined Twitter 2/6/10


Meant to say component of a depression. @GildedState When you post a reply, please try to make sense. Please. We got a bear market in 1990 after Iraq invad… https://t.co/v0LfbV5Gu5(Sigh). Looks like there is more re-educating to do. I'll say it again: A recession is not a kindler-gentler versio… https://t.co/suhOAmIJQjBonus for this thread: Inflation rate is a better explainer than other econ. series for not just changes in overall… https://t.co/X7lfzrwCknA better correlation (+0.58) exists between the inflation rate shifted forward a year and crime rates. This makes t… https://t.co/uyVWZFj8F6Lawrence Lindsey was just on @CNBC, incorrectly stating that high unemployment and slow GDP are correlated to highe… https://t.co/cmoQggfV3w @MaasenBrady The official unemployment rate for March is 4.4%, released today, and based on mid-March which was bef… https://t.co/MKxgdMcJQgWhat climate bedwetting means economically: 1. 5% reduction in emissions estimated this year b/c of #coronavirus.… https://t.co/lHuo7KtjTn
Retweeted by Tom McClellanHearing lots of chatter about: How can we have a stock market bottom with jobs picture in turmoil? Answer: market u… https://t.co/wLIdzLSFEiGood. https://t.co/3M2lt2rPfHMy latest Chart In Focus article, "Sudden Surge in Bearishness", is posted at https://t.co/drMI4zi6kj. https://t.co/dDKwENAsmC
4/3
2020
@cullenroche The market bottomed in March 2009 when the Fed started QE1. It was pushed down in the months leading t… https://t.co/yoYPy3YXcy @janewells Rocket launcher optional. https://t.co/ErfiLmyCd2Data from Pierce County, Washington, which is one county south of Seattle and King County. Draw your own conclusion… https://t.co/N59iWREcVV
4/2
2020
How would all of the ESG funds grapple with that development? They hate “Big Tobacco”, but... https://t.co/vVldsHJQpE @tracyjarchow It was implied.https://t.co/fe2fmdxIIL https://t.co/U4hce22J8z @craigstatler @carlquintanilla More like covetousness of someone else having cool data that I don't have. @carlquintanilla I wonder how BofA knows that, since the EIA data on gasoline consumption just out today at… https://t.co/AyPz4jYbDH
4/1
2020
There is a lot of evidence that QE works to lift the stock market (not much good for other purposes). Fed is now do… https://t.co/lWO0pURi49 @stockquips You're just saying that because it's what has happened every other time.Inilah yang saya untaikan dalam thread saya tentang harga minyak akan jatuh lagi. https://t.co/LenmEKYKVl
Retweeted by Tom McClellanAltının 20 aylık performansına bakınca Petrolün 2,3 Hafta daha düşmesi lazım https://t.co/HPQZV3meiP
Retweeted by Tom McClellanСогласно 20-месячным опережающим индикаторам золота, цены на нефть все еще имеют 2-3 недели, пока они не достигнут… https://t.co/9okNSIjqOG
Retweeted by Tom McClellanEveryone dumped Stocks in March – *except* smart money Corporate Insiders. Insiders went on the 2nd largest buying… https://t.co/RWSJ4jfGJB
Retweeted by Tom McClellan @joebren60 20 months, dude. 20 months. @BreadthAndPrice You can torture the data any way you like; feel free, go ahead. And if you torture it enough you c… https://t.co/OXGP5xwmq8 @BreadthAndPrice That is the wrong question. Pearson's can get fooled by trending moves, and the magnitudes of the… https://t.co/EKRsqwdzhY @sbrfernandez Discussed here: https://t.co/67VxUKqXpDAccording to gold's 20-month leading indication, oil prices still have about 2-3 weeks until they are due to bottom. https://t.co/nLrOIaaLB9
3/31
2020
@louis_kender No. The Spanish Flu was 1918, which was AFTER the stock market decline. Read the post before you go making responses about it. @muscleman6666 In 1918, yes. Check out the postings by @AmityShlaes on that topic."A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on." - - - Winston Churchill S… https://t.co/BBUNcRmeI7
3/30
2020
I did not know until today that this is the quietest season for pneumonia and influenza deaths of the past several… https://t.co/fQtEfA3pe5It would be strange indeed if our social distancing and hygiene efforts end up saving more lives than the virus kil… https://t.co/ucfSMhQHOh
Retweeted by Tom McClellanThere really IS one Taylor Rule for all seasons. Just set the Fed Funds target to within 1/4 point of the 2-year T-… https://t.co/UQoB0LW6Xb
3/29
2020
@contessabrewer "It's got a great beat, Dick, I think I could dance to it." - - American Bandstand panelistBREAKING: We’re launching a test that can detect COVID-19 in as little as 5 minutes—bringing rapid testing to the f… https://t.co/TeWkIGQNuK
Retweeted by Tom McClellan
3/28
2020
@DrueMark Laundry did some really great work. Thanks for your comments.https://t.co/fJsd8NFfsW https://t.co/kOIKjMo7Yy @tmacktrading It stopped working for the stock market. Still working for ST rates, with 10-month lag. You should do… https://t.co/rDuT5cJG1KEven before CV19 became a thing, the eurodollar (int. rates) COT model was calling for a big drop in short term rat… https://t.co/s0MquZJvOyThis week's NSA jobless claims number of 3.28 million exceeds by a factor of 3 the prior record of 1.07 million the… https://t.co/ZG3Ww6Bcrd
3/27
2020
This is why 20% up or down is a ridiculous threshold, and why we should all judge harshly any reporter or analyst w… https://t.co/5bObm3OjWsYou should really sign up to get our free Chart In Focus series of articles. No spam, no selling our list to anyone… https://t.co/0W9eOltSd4 @MarkSauer18 The 60/40 allocation crowd are going to fuel that effort with their rebalancing trades. @Weirddiscovery It is because this drop was not brought about by naturally occurring drying up of liquidity, which… https://t.co/8QTWjBLoaQOr a "rogue wave", as discussed at https://t.co/M7JX2YF7Hi https://t.co/Dxo055NDSQ https://t.co/EVg6uNlHSc @JamyManuyc You can find it on our Home page.This is outrageous. The SEC suspends trading of Zoom Technologies bc ppl were confusing it for #Zoom Video. Video… https://t.co/eVgUZCfVsw
Retweeted by Tom McClellan @KellyCNBC @robt @CNBC Any ponders out there among our "leaders" about how to maybe cut expenses, like people and b… https://t.co/rd3dm1wYAZMy latest Chart In Focus article, "QE is Bullish for Stocks, Bearish for Bonds", is posted at… https://t.co/suiWF6AOu7 @System_281 It totally was a photo op. Search for other images of the event, and you'll see that the medical suppli… https://t.co/W9txNKdLacReading this section more thoroughly (at https://t.co/PqBtC1WLu6), anyone who even works for or owns shares in a co… https://t.co/VfPB5Af6uDCorrection: making <$9?,000. Sorry for the typo.This would mean that after the bill currently before the House gets passed, no one making >$9?,000 could donate to… https://t.co/ifTqvEauDfThe original quote is from J. Paul Getty: "If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 m… https://t.co/WHbO4nAdnNIt happened in the early 1930s, when banks were failing, and businesses with cash flow had no safe place to make de… https://t.co/vQPanlrI7R
3/26
2020
And the "1968 pandemic" had no real effect on stock prices. The decline mentioned in that citation came in 1969-70,… https://t.co/5zVxWDrIksSome big clarification is needed on this. The 1918 pandemic came AFTER the big price decline, which was in 1916-17.… https://t.co/qT490AsStfSuch stories also tend to omit the point that those best and worst days are often right next to each other. https://t.co/TZ3rbfM67V @27RTR17 Earthquakes are well-known to cluster around full and new moon dates. Tidal forces work on the ocean, and… https://t.co/917l6ojBNtOn a new moon day, when tidal forces are peaking. Not a coincidence. https://t.co/Py0E9Sm9gICustomer: I want to take delivery. Comex: We do not have staff here to make that happen, due to CV19. Customer: Wel… https://t.co/SolAzIUOAV @factor_members Why 30 days?Don't let the sun go down on me. https://t.co/2jxwUy1Mo9 @firehorsecaper Yeah, that principle worked great for Federal Reserve Silver Certificates, until redemption was sum… https://t.co/qIVcAPsoFx @Paul_Schatz No, I won't stop.The late Ian McAvity, a former director of the Central Fund of Canada (gold bullion CEF), had some advice on gold s… https://t.co/WLa7dwP6M1The interesting point about FDR confiscating the gold was the reason why he did it. He wanted to put dollars in peo… https://t.co/9qRkS4GZQJ
3/25
2020
Discussed at length here https://t.co/nYdbKBzHWj in 2015. https://t.co/EQKOAL3Pat @itsgood2bequeen Yeah, because that's what medical professionals do with empty packaging, they stack it neatly for a festive display. @JayWoods3 Ooof! Still too soon to bring that up.If masks are in short supply, and medical staff are having to wash and reuse them, how are there any available to s… https://t.co/CyQHeFP4mxBut did they buy back in on Monday? https://t.co/6ldNpi4fiJ @leemunson It depends on how robust the bounce is, and how stupid the Fed gets about cutting off QE as opposed to t… https://t.co/iYVTN7pLpdAmazingly, #5 is true. U.S. ran a surplus in 1929 & 1930, because Pres. Hoover and Congress were worried about prob… https://t.co/3ROJGCgFHY
3/24
2020
The McClellan Oscillator last week gave two separate bullish indications. First, it showed a divergent higher low v… https://t.co/7B2JN81YAH"Tomorrow"?!! https://t.co/MqRlGYkaUGThis is why: https://t.co/qPDZgBNeE1 https://t.co/FfyXFslMWp
3/23
2020
"Two Yangs" is a volume measurement. To convert it into a rate, you need a time element. If one were to set a wage… https://t.co/hDzQkGSwT4~15 months. Discussed here https://t.co/ulkIymhPOX on Feb. 20, 2020. If everyone could understand this chart, we wo… https://t.co/Qt6upPj76V
3/22
2020
The @stlouisfed usually releases "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances of Depository Institutions", incl repos, each… https://t.co/Y74ihEjbV9Jay Kaeppel did an interesting add-on analysis after I posted this article. See https://t.co/Em5pbnM23u https://t.co/1HXoB1iigZ @elg38 Yes, shared tonight in my Daily Edition. https://t.co/67VxUKqXpDThis week gave us our answer. Ronin Capital. See https://t.co/hHk0tAr6St https://t.co/bnygTtUXiu https://t.co/9uBvTculYt @OldRowJimmy @biancoresearch You are out of line, casting aspersions on Jim Bianco's motivations. Apologize to him right now. @Eric_Lee63 Yes, obviously. Finally cut to zero last weekend, a target rate which is slightly stimulative versus 2-years at ~0.5%.
3/21
2020
@jayho79 Wrong. A recession is whatever the NBER says is a recession. The 2 quarters definition was proposed in the… https://t.co/4CkjKLzu4xHere we go again. A "recession" is not a kinder and gentler version of a depression. Every recession is a part of a… https://t.co/aZakUi6wkO @LarryBermanETF See https://t.co/GCOhUuAQ9x. They are closed. @ctm800 The CGI'd in the blank shells and no one caught it. Grrrr! @ctm800 Not quite. The point is that the directors and editors don't know the difference between real and blank rou… https://t.co/6Xg41PaorQ @biancoresearch This is the problem with knowledge and experience, in that they can cause one to have an eye for de… https://t.co/twK9iuDdd5 @biancoresearch Speaking as a one-time Army logistics officer, these trucks look like they are getting shipped new… https://t.co/qYjGqkpsMk @mfholmes75 Were you the one holding this sign? https://t.co/Z5dAemKiUyOkay, sounds fair, as long as the same standard is applied to Congress running deficits (no bond market "bailout" f… https://t.co/l8SDjRCusZ
3/20
2020
DJIA is about a day away from a #DeathCross. But as I discussed back in 2011 at https://t.co/K5rm7ENbfV, that chart… https://t.co/P7lFylKVlQT-Bond futures had a nice bounce off the 0.618, now working on reaching for the 0.382. https://t.co/6XL1RsI9FvMy latest Chart In Focus article, "Stock Market Showing Another Example of 'Rogue Wave' Behavior", is posted at… https://t.co/YW3DmqiZoI
3/19
2020

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