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Politics Prof, Manchester Uni, "Brexitland" with Maria Sobolewska out in September, available for pre-order now

2,536 Following   36,611 Followers   130,715 Tweets

Joined Twitter 11/15/10


And congratulations to whoever responded to @Epkaufm's "survey" with this: comedy gold. Bet you didn't think he'd… https://t.co/EB2Zrzu0bl
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberThis, for example, would fail any basic undergrad stats course: it's just not how sampling works. @epkaufm eviden… https://t.co/rjxp57DiZi
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberThis new @Policy_Exchange report by @epkaufm et al on "academic freedom" is usual mismash of tendentious ideology &… https://t.co/6syElZ0iCv
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
8/3
2020
Sex, Lies & Politics, 3rd from same factory, just as good; I’ve lost my copy of 2nd, but commented on it here https://t.co/U96cUlkSvP
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberSex, Lies & the Ballot Box, ed @philipjcowley & @robfordmancs It’s got a quotation from me on the back https://t.co/XW6QIBqfI2
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberThere’s possibly a danger this gets lost in the madness of everything else, and is a good example of something that… https://t.co/1ifLfcW9cD
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberThis was the GMCA comment on this on Friday https://t.co/YqRhfxhDJX
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberSomething that probably needs more highlighting is the fact people who were shielded in Greater Manchester stopped… https://t.co/R4XeEeJP5D
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
8/2
2020
Voting Method By Vote Intention: Voting In Person: Trump 65% (+33) Biden 32% Voting By Mail: Biden 76% (+56) Trum… https://t.co/HYAAfgZZa0
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberScottish Approval Ratings: Nicola Sturgeon: Approve: 66% Disapprove: 30% NET: +36% Keir Starmer: Approve: 38% Dis… https://t.co/xvuqtIrPVR
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
8/1
2020
Can we convince people this is a statue of a slave-owner or something https://t.co/Mfx3tAVlxZ
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberFace mask usage in Britain has continued to rocket following their use being made compulsory in shops. Now 69% of B… https://t.co/hq4NisT33w
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberAn interesting outcome of community-level #COVID19 serology studies is the proportion of infections that initially… https://t.co/RL46dtPtco
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberAnother one for the history books: the 10-year US real interest rate hit -1% for the first time ever. https://t.co/xDBFqTzWWi
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberOne implication: We should have found a way to honor John Lewis without endangering the many vulnerable people in t… https://t.co/aYk5iliVNo
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberLet me say this outright: This is unscientific, stupid and wrong. This is incredible. Six months in, how can we be… https://t.co/NmpW5WhHCQ
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberPartisanship is lethal. https://t.co/WAZmm3ty6g
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @lawrencemckay94 @ProfSobolewska Was a pleasure to read and to discuss with you. Very well done - now enjoy the sunshine : )God I've had less stressful evenings that didn't involve being in the park with 10% battery and scant information a… https://t.co/CzisI6p0M7
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberImagine a hypothetical swing state where 42% of the vote is cast by mail and there's an extreme partisan gap betwee… https://t.co/JpkboArWX5
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September[new article] Trump's attacks on mail voting could depress his base. But he could also be setting a trap that could… https://t.co/ylNAhb03kj
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
7/31
2020
Florida is going to tell the tale -- setting aside some well-publicized, ahem, local troubles in some elections, th… https://t.co/viGZT3mmrw
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberAmid the confusion, DHSC have put out the official guidance on #northernlockdown https://t.co/AzZOBo3vDU
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberLockdown confusion as Manchester MP says 'inbox is full of questions I can't answer' https://t.co/LyYPH8lQto
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberWhat advice does report author @DrAlanWager give to the next leader of the @LibDems, @EdwardJDavey or @LaylaMoran?… https://t.co/wRyI3k3uvR
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberGreat little write-up of our new report on the geography and demographics facing the new Lib Dem leader, as ballots… https://t.co/25d4KBRkMO
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
7/30
2020
That quote from Boehner about Gohmert is priceless https://t.co/c6y92Y0bru
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @robfordmancs My @Wonkhe article may be of interest: https://t.co/YLKWqfitxa
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @Will_Tanner (should add btw that while I differ with you on some of these points I absolutely agree that this is a… https://t.co/uziUZb8pvu @Will_Tanner I think also a recogntion of the harm done by 2010-18 immigration policies is important, so that a rep… https://t.co/ifv9feq8YR @Will_Tanner So I think if it is an approach to take, then it should at least be done with an eye to how access for… https://t.co/ZnkTQXCKdG @Will_Tanner I am dubious as to this statistic, but its a technical debate of the kind twitter is not good for. The… https://t.co/EwP6x8DIeTAnd here's some of the reporting on the overstay statistics May invented to justify irrational, draconian policies… https://t.co/uOEeyWWqrLHere's Nobel Prize winning graphene inventor and University of Manchester Professor Andre Geim pointing out the dam… https://t.co/aSKn4UfB7v @Will_Tanner Yes I recognise and support that (see follow up tweets). But why fund it by cutting access to other co… https://t.co/T03mtIg6aZCutting opportunities to access HE for disadvantaged students would be a particularly cruel blow at a time where Co… https://t.co/UevWqNktFeThe effect of this will be far larger I suspect than any impact from cutting foreign students because the crowding… https://t.co/DXB1qCIKUFIn addition the report is near to silent on social mobility and access. One of it’s recommendations is funding expa… https://t.co/7g2HcThVORSo while a reconsideration is welcome a bit more honesty about the causes of these problems would be too.Cameron and May didn’t listen as they were obsessed with their pointless, and now defunct and unlamented net migrat… https://t.co/lbMD4td0cJIt was both predictable and widely predicted at the time that this would damage the university sector and leave it… https://t.co/L5XgR6McwAHowever one cause of that exposure which the report overlooks was Home Office migration policy under Cameron and Ma… https://t.co/LEafJgPfYcTo be fair to Tanner and Onward they do make greater government funding a key recommendation (though with the usual… https://t.co/0IoTPYAKdc @Ghost_of_Tito They aren’tFor 20 years U.K. govts have had their cake and eaten it on HE - world class research and domestic expansion delive… https://t.co/fdcp74tXTP(Along with research not sling with research) Reforming HE is a good idea. But it requires diagnosing the problem c… https://t.co/0qWsQdituOAnyone working in universities will tell you foreign students don’t crowd out domestic ones, they subsidise domesti… https://t.co/PVHgcTEEi2This chart from the Onward thinktank is one of best spurious correlation charts I have seen in *months*. What do w… https://t.co/a0nLY9c9td
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @JoshPowell_2 Next year, not sure when exactly yet @Aremay Oh dearWith great respect to Jeremy, this suggestion is anti-science & damaging to public health and not really an issue f… https://t.co/DLiZPz108G
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberNEW: UK and European businesses are being called upon to pause their advertising on Facebook, in protest against th… https://t.co/GWH3jVj1wb
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberOur CNN/SSRS swing state polls show a massive partisan divide on who will vote by mail. Interestingly, that divide… https://t.co/vx6cv0z92H
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
7/29
2020
In our episode, we talked about what role Britain's history plays in these conflicts over identity and diversity; w… https://t.co/RAGhpUpqZ7
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberIn "Brexitland," Professors Sobolewska & Ford demonstrate how long-term demographic & social changes have transform… https://t.co/xejuMsv3pO
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September🚨NEW EPISODE!!🚨🗣️🎙️ We talked to @ProfSobolewska & @robfordmancs, professors of political science @OfficialUoM, ab… https://t.co/a3EqRP2eS1
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberIn which I discuss how statistics in the media go wrong, and then quietly announce that me and @dave_chivers are wr… https://t.co/f7SpmMvkDA
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberDonald Trump's 2020 Platform: 🤡He can drink water with one hand. 🤡He can recite 5 words in a row. 🤡He can walk dow… https://t.co/VDZPBlOl5D
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberWe've just published a new report about the impacts of COVID-19 based on the labour market profile of migrant worke… https://t.co/Irgc7nVfsZ
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberAround a third of workers born in EU-14 countries are in jobs in which they are expected to be able to work remotel… https://t.co/aajf4AcSkk
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberWhy have Sky News shown this cat in silhouette as if its an IRA informant circa the 1990s? https://t.co/429blfvsbC
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberCatch-up: worth noting Labour membership now at highest ever* (previous peak 564k in Dec 2017) https://t.co/cCpRhNBCHz
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
7/28
2020
My hot takes on contemporary Twitter discussions: (1) I think Trump is likely to lose. Maybe 1-in-5 chance he wins… https://t.co/sBvy2oRtoD
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @tprweaver @richardmarcj Yes, far fewer third party/undecided voters than in 2016 which is potentially significant… https://t.co/MgrbcHWaRd @richardmarcj That was just the convention bounce though, as I mentioned in the subsequent tweet. Biden's lead is m… https://t.co/vKtz03WdT2 @richardmarcj Biden's lead on every day since June 8th has been bigger than the biggest lead Clinton ever registere… https://t.co/3iB1OJshjw @richardmarcj Sure, but it was an outlier. Double digit leads for Biden are standard. These two graphs are very dif… https://t.co/xspDaU0CM5Got the NJ absentee ballot file for the July 7 primary and it is not pretty. Of the 1,313,275 ballots received, 940… https://t.co/4wIRGoGxRY
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September“Listen up @WileyCEO in case you need something clarifying – Jews don’t run the law, the banks or the world. I hate… https://t.co/p15FHuv9EQ
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberIgnorant ahistorical nonsense. I suggest looking up the definition of “Soziale Marktwirtschaft” https://t.co/Lrrzg9RAPj
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberCongratulations to all our students graduating this summer and joining in the celebrations virtually this week. I… https://t.co/BszCiaNbV6
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @patricksturg Fails Hoggart's rule: "If the opposite of something is absurd then it isn't worth saying in the first… https://t.co/0Ia3J2BWMFThis is well worth a read... https://t.co/hPaZfNaPD7
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @heniek_d3 @AmhyuAnderlik @bobby_jags @BallouxFrancois Anti-vaxxers are instantly blocked by me. You are a danger t… https://t.co/2qAzEcKYEQ
7/27
2020
One of the biggest mysteries of Covid-19 has been why some people become very ill, while a large number of people w… https://t.co/oRSyEgbyDt
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberBut there really isn't a tradeoff. The US is now lagging behind other countries that didn't rush to reopen 3/… https://t.co/HiK0sXCH2S
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberA couple of months ago, before the great reopening disaster, I did several interviews in which I was asked about th… https://t.co/msLJNmIRNj
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberEither way, we've got another week in the books where Biden is maintaining a commanding lead without really any ser… https://t.co/y9ZMaNsmJy
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @Campbell_VPC The value of studies like this,as I noted in thread, is it gets round the endogeneity due to self sel… https://t.co/rSi2PGBXJE @Campbell_VPC I don’t see how either is relevant for identifying the main effect unless you think they are associat… https://t.co/Bso5lS8YnoSuggests perhaps that Starmer (a) seen as more competent than likeable at present (at least by some) and (b) those… https://t.co/lXEIViDOfXTwo things on Starmer's numbers at the moment: 1) He does much better on approval type questions than on favorabili… https://t.co/f6CTnyIl4Q
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September @Campbell_VPC Such instruments do often fall down because they turn out not to be as random with respects possible… https://t.co/1FnMDEAKre @Campbell_VPC That's the whole point of seeking plausibly random instruments of this kind - it means we can isolate… https://t.co/9Z5vqR5okm @Campbell_VPC Well no the study rests on the assumption that those things are not correlated with channel position… https://t.co/0YNWu36Xsq @Campbell_VPC Regarding the latter points I think identifying a treatment effect is a different task to identifying… https://t.co/QswqTNedq7 @Campbell_VPC What third variables could be plausibly associated with allocation of channel position which they neg… https://t.co/UmJ4laT49Vhttps://t.co/NU8aHYlsbO https://t.co/Xb3IhUyrv5
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
7/26
2020
Low child mortality due to #COVID19 is not due do to school closures. Children are intrinsically at a very low risk… https://t.co/ak34ykpJDK
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberDensity and education have independent effects on vote choice. White no college voters in the cities, for instance,… https://t.co/MERXY77nPH
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberWe're 100 days and a few hours out from election day... This is an unprecedented election, but Trump's trying to co… https://t.co/QZx1jd05c3
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberIt was political pressure by Orban’s oligarchs that strangled our last bulwark of free press. It was a Fidesz mayor… https://t.co/jw8k0YMVFn
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberOf course, in addition to hardball not actually being a one-size-fits-all answer to every question, McConnell is al… https://t.co/X6sHy1p2xq
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberMcConnell's two month siesta on COVID relief will mean a bill as bad or worse from his perspective passes anyway, b… https://t.co/WKF3t9GcyG
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberRemember ACA repeal, when all of his too-clever-by-half bypassing of normal procedure completely failed to make the… https://t.co/52ondaucBg
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in SeptemberWhy? Because people are really, really lazy! They'll reliably watch earlier channel more, rather than flicking onwa… https://t.co/On1iGy0NagBy finding a random source of variation - Fox's place on the channel roster - researchers can more reliably separat… https://t.co/YR4qIs5cSfWhy does all this matter? Because of the chicken and the egg problem. Media effects are hard to identify because ve… https://t.co/lKUuZJk0Kj @EuroManc I do yes! Available for pre-order now?Hi @Victorinox surely you don't want to be aligned with this kind of toxic content on OpIndia? Will you take steps… https://t.co/vd91nqyNGr
Retweeted by Rob Ford has a book out in September
7/25
2020

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