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Mathematician/Statistician/Mathematical Programmer. Personal account.

316 Following   136 Followers   6,979 Tweets

Joined Twitter 5/20/09


@SteffanBlayney Not sure if our paths crossed today but cheers for the effort 👍. @BUDDHA_DRAGON1 @Williamos6 @GeorgeH_96 @ToryFibs Could be more judging by the rate that soup and sausage rolls disappeared @BUDDHA_DRAGON1 @Williamos6 @GeorgeH_96 @ToryFibs Hard to pinpoint. Didn’t see everyone because groups were in and… https://t.co/C3nPnRQgtM @millsmick @ToryFibs @MDaws85 That’s not a measure of despair, they have a lot of boots on the ground. That’s possi… https://t.co/n3DXPJsDFd @Williamos6 @GeorgeH_96 @ToryFibs A lot of volunteers on the ground in Rother Valley are doing their best. @Soph__wilson Best of luck Sophie 👍Met two disappointingly young Tory canvassers this morning: T: Going to Vote Sir? Me: Yes, of course. T: You’ll… https://t.co/ELqtwLxqmb
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @rupert_walsh @MSmithsonPB @peterjukes You might think that but I spoke to voters who were surprised to learn they… https://t.co/tZ9JthlhjZ @David1966Smith @ComradeDel @FinancialTimes All the key technologies that make my iPhone work were funded by public… https://t.co/96eCP71AeULabour 🌹
Retweeted by Kevin McNallyIf you haven’t accidentally left the house with all your Tory parents & grandparents’ keys (and all the spares) what are you playing at
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @RFewtrellUK @centrist_phone What are YOU doing today to play your little part in making your predictions come true?
12/12
2019
@BBCNewsPR @StevePeers How far has the BBC sunk that this statement is even deemed necessary 🤦‍♂️. @GoodwinMJ Not difficult to squeeze a party that stands down for you in 300 odd seats.Nine years of Boris Johnson’s Conservatives, summed up in one picture. https://t.co/CXWCih0pkC
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @centrist_phone It’s not just an underestimate of Labour vote share, it has an equal and opposing effect on Tory vote share. @chrdun @joepike Suspect Onn will be OK. @Tommay96 @KKRLFClover @evolvepolitics @britainelects @Survation Compare this phone poll with the YouGov MRP which… https://t.co/tiVLkjqF6i @centrist_phone @TomStow4 Just taken a look at Table 14 in methodology. Their turnout assumption is wrong. 90% turnout for over 85s?Journalism in the UK is dying and the BBC has now officially died with the appalling coverage over the last few day… https://t.co/ngmTPiNQjk
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @Uditha_Desilva @francisqcoyle @Pam4HarrowEast Did she stand down after lists were published? @RespectIsVital It has the battleground right. Our job is to make the headline predictions wrong. @centrist_phone Something along the lines of the BES estimate then. Worth checking constituency level turnout predi… https://t.co/YsRHL42r8h
12/11
2019
@centrist_phone @focaldataHQ YouGov quantify their uncertainties. The overall methodology is unquestionably better.… https://t.co/s2154DLPrC @chriscurtis94 @YouGov Will these be reported with the same level of detail as the original analysis?#VoteLabourActually (that’ll teach you to blatantly plagiarise @DrRosena’s brilliant video @BorisJohnson) https://t.co/iRxri5HrFO
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @theJeremyVine @bbclaurak This is what an institutional problem looks like.For those who think both sides are liars: 88% of Conservative ads were found to be misleading or outright wrong, wh… https://t.co/qFF00g9VWQ
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @JohnSimpsonNews 🤷‍♂️ @GAYLEXITNOW @paulewart23 @AbiWilks @LiveHardMan Conservative vote share hasn’t risen since that point. @mvandenelst @RSR108 @paulwaugh As soon as pollsters adjusted methodology to factor this in the Tory share went up… https://t.co/xNBTSxEDZm @GAYLEXITNOW @paulewart23 @AbiWilks @LiveHardMan That 6% is misleading. Brexit Party standing down in Tory seats wi… https://t.co/0xmzGgbhHMThe Tories have already employed their 50,000 new nurses. Sadly they are all fake ones on twitter. https://t.co/iTAVrvIIrM
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @LewisCoxEaling @Cornish_Damo Damn right it didn’t. Blair started this. @JJDEdwards @ScaryNewDad @felix_cohen 😂Death rate will also be higher in deprived communities.Death rate is around 10 per thousand population. For a registered population of 80k there will have been around 2k… https://t.co/KuWwp4R8Np @RSR108 @paulwaugh No it doesn’t. Totnes will have upwards of 2000 deaths since the last election. New registration… https://t.co/sguij7lmt8 @boutela @sjwrenlewis 'Deltapoll surveyed 500 respondents by telephone between 26th November - 1st December 2019.'… https://t.co/9PgGhi26BF @DehennaDavison @BorisJohnson You wouldn’t know the North East if it bit you on the arse. @BeardBernards @DavidGuyJohnso1 @centrist_phone @britainelects @SavantaComRes 13000 interviews at 130ish polling st… https://t.co/GOUfvpEZI6 @bbcquestiontime @0Calamity She’s on the money. As the state of these comment show, it’s the last acceptable racism. @marcowenjones You must have done the donkey work for a decent paper yesterday Marc. Hope you’ll be writing this up.
12/10
2019
Cannot get behind a man who shames single mums and their children, uses casual racism, gambles with the NHS and giv… https://t.co/xltUkGCzNk
Retweeted by Kevin McNallyCan see why they’ve signed you up Joe. One of the few broadcast journalists to shine this past few weeks. https://t.co/eJ06IXwDe4 @CultureProxy @paulmasonnews @bbclaurak @OborneTweets There’s plenty of decent broadcast journalists from Sky, C4 a… https://t.co/H2uXoSUBzm @PippaCrerar @GregHadfield Not fake news Pippa. Bare-faced lies. @OhRoyyy_ @urlocalhoney Stunned that you can’t buy a semi- automatic tbf.https://t.co/KiKKS8wXM7
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @CultureProxy @paulmasonnews @bbclaurak Replace her with @OborneTweets . @fascinatorfun @lewis_goodall @MaryCreaghMP @bphillipsonMP @jessphillips @wesstreeting It’s an entirely predictable… https://t.co/WuUmrXybmB @paulmasonnews @bbclaurak Can’t see how she can continue in this role after the election. Not up to the top. @centrist_phone @AaronBastani Given that Martin Boon has departed they stand a good chance.Will @BorisJohnson flounder in the final days? Cod be decisive. - at Grimsby Fish Market | #GE19 | @itvcalendar https://t.co/gjT4nhbN64
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @rachshabi @chunkymark I'm missing 'strong and stable' @heywoodbill @politicshome 0.8% of conservative candidates have either been suspended or are under investigation for antisemitism.Tried to show @BorisJohnson the picture of Jack Williment-Barr. The 4-year-old with suspected pneumonia forced to l… https://t.co/S8Pv3mTN9Z
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @socialistilford @lewis_goodall No problem with @lewis_goodall . Fair reporting. As he’s noted previously, the pro… https://t.co/QnaHUjMFtnSurprise!! We have been working very hard on making this little film over the past two weeks, very excited to share… https://t.co/OIKDck4ter
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @IanDunt @cjayanetti Compiled by an individual who doesn’t seem to understand ‘churn’. @benatipsosmori @__Magnifico @paulwaugh ‘This is one we didn’t fuck up ‘ 😂 @benatipsosmori @__Magnifico @paulwaugh You’ve called every election wrong since 2015 👍 @Hazmania76 Stunned. @centrist_phone @MRNewton_ Following ad spending is an interesting approach. It’s probably more reliable than follo… https://t.co/AT99GKsiIn @JackChristy93 @PALillie @AaronBastani @rakibehsan @kevina364 Pollsters were laughing at The NowCast forecasts back… https://t.co/17vOngsnX8 @StevePeers Please stop uncritically sharing this guff. @Pickpricklypear @Iaculus @flying_rodent Don’t need the EHRC. There’s been two serimious academic studies in antise… https://t.co/VRw3ta7pVu
12/9
2019
Wrote a piece for Jacobin about the fact that the BBC has been busy demolishing what’s left of its reputation, yet… https://t.co/TcDGwj3Rxy
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @NickCohen4 Not sure what you’d fill your weekly column with?😂 https://t.co/JGfVliXPvc @wesstreeting @SarahChampionMP Not attacking your own front bench today Wes? There’s a turn up. @sharpeleven @Cornish_Damo @Peston Clearly overqualified. @JAGLeMans @TraderNeo1 @loveisbrilliant @Simon_Lucy @GoodwinMJ @YouGov As a footnote that calculation is almost cer… https://t.co/qXOMfAHgWG @MartyWardle @GoodwinMJ Tax loophole closed. What’s your point? @JAGLeMans @TraderNeo1 @loveisbrilliant @Simon_Lucy @GoodwinMJ @YouGov For an average population you’d expect 10 de… https://t.co/pv9MhbP5Pd @JAGLeMans @TraderNeo1 @loveisbrilliant @Simon_Lucy @GoodwinMJ @YouGov Might only be a minor difference but you als… https://t.co/KAhZ62N8RA @AbiWilks He didn’t stop being a bastard because he started wearing yellow Abi. Same shitty values, different rosette.If your view of Labour was influenced by the Panorama programme 'Is Labour Anti-Semitic?' you should read this repo… https://t.co/TcLYRSHY5S
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @shaunjlawson I’ve seen a very credible analysis that indicates there’s a baked in bias in all the pollsters methodology. @stylites_c @PHughes74470229 @sjwrenlewis @BestForBritain The advice in Sheffield Hallam is cobblers too. Here we a… https://t.co/xOOnQQTgtg @stevemmitchell @LeftLost_Pltcs @jonworth @PeterKellner1 @theSNP @UKLabour It’s the sort of inclusion that leads yo… https://t.co/MSItEWWMcp @BobBorsley @FisherAndrew79 0.06% of Labour Party members is ‘institutional antisemitism’ whereas 0.8% of Tory candidates isn’t a problem? @BobBorsley @FisherAndrew79 You surely must mean the party that has five of its candidates engaging in antisemitism? @LeftLost_Pltcs @jonworth @PeterKellner1 @theSNP @UKLabour He’s called Sheffield Hallam badly too: it’s a Labour/LD… https://t.co/W4HjUOpSks @JohnWest_JAWS @KitCatK If he’s been voting Tory for 40 years it’s part of his identity. You’d stand a better shot… https://t.co/COiQ041h3g @therandomnouns @flying_rodent Fair point. Imagine an alternative reality where the shadow cabinet provided the sup… https://t.co/pdBj4EL5Cq @leftworks1 @Gabriel_Pogrund @MidWalesMike Pinoccho, Pinoccio, Pin... Dammit. Too stupid to spell it properly ...... @Tommay96 @KKRLFClover @evolvepolitics @britainelects @Survation That’s with internet based polling. Phone polls ar… https://t.co/nQZEwBitl2
12/8
2019
@britainelects @DeltapollUK Two warning ⚠️. 1) It’s deltapoll; 2) constituency level phone poll which has to exclud… https://t.co/1efiJe2Ia1 @Tommay96 @KKRLFClover @evolvepolitics @britainelects @Survation Can’t target mobiles at a constituency level. No a… https://t.co/Ypd2JYkCBSAn appalling fact I learnt just now: At least 135,000 children will be in temporary accommodation this Christmas, t… https://t.co/502Z7rPDUu
Retweeted by Kevin McNally @KKRLFClover @evolvepolitics @britainelects @Survation Unreliable poll. It can only target landlines. Huge problem. @Etienne94683161 @robjeffecology @Tomfurness2 @britainelects @Survation Constituency level phone polling is bullshit. @ScouseGirlMedia He didn’t lie though. Progress of sorts. @parsifel43 @MichaelRosenYes Brace yourself but Lord Mann has tweeted that article. Astonishing. @EsqLukeAdam @RebelMC6 @inthesticks @GoodwinMJ The opinium one is horseshit every week.Sit down before you read this @MichaelRosenYes . https://t.co/25YEkLqlCKCompare and contrast with @Peston tickling his belly. Well done Hannah. https://t.co/3TKFHFESmF @centrist_phone @LabourLeft Did you look at the best PM question? That would be interesting.Last night's post-debate polls by YouGov showed a narrow Johnson win. Johnson 52% Corbyn 48% Good news for Johnso… https://t.co/DUIuOZ5Vpd
Retweeted by Kevin McNally
12/7
2019

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